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Link Between HIV/AIDS and Recent Fertility Patterns in Kenya
This project examines the possible link between the HIV/AIDS epidemic and recent fertility patterns in Kenya, based on the 2003 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (KDHS) data. The 2003 KDHS provides a unique opportunity to study the impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on affected populations, being the first of the international DHS programme to anonymously link the HIV/AIDS results with key behavioural and demographic factors. Kenya has experienced one of the most dramatic fertility declines in world history, but the decline has now surprising stagnated, and even reversed in some regions of the country. Earlier evidence from the 2003 KDHS show interesting regional patterns with respect to fertility trends and the HIV/AIDS epidemic, but the relationship between these two remains unclear. The specific objectives of this study are to:
- examine regional variations in the link between HIV/AIDS and fertility;
- explore possible mechanisms through which HIV/AIDS influences fertility; and
- examine the effect of contextual community HIV/AIDS factors on fertility.
The analysis is being carried out at the aggregate (regional) level and at individual level and features multilevel analysis, particularly in the investigation of community/district level contextual factors.
Sponsor: USAID, through MEASURE Evaluation, University of North Carolina
Project Team: Monica Magadi, CRSP, Loughborough University, Alfred Agwanda, PSRI, University of Nairobi
Project Administrator: Nicola Selby
Start date: October 2005
Completion date: September 2006
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